Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.137203 14.767622 16.537044 18.602435 20.950270 23.539772 26.617174
2025-03-30 10.636187 12.797313 15.320234 18.492838 22.389712 27.037482 33.027132
2025-04-06 8.646706 11.032186 13.999004 17.981764 23.221610 29.925374 39.224355
2025-04-13 7.222678 9.707681 12.977706 17.633633 24.153961 33.051194 46.266151
2025-04-20 6.376887 8.989874 12.611748 18.058660 26.146917 37.877721 56.479355
2025-04-27 5.725825 8.430954 12.363239 18.583365 28.337432 43.318003 68.593891
2025-05-04 5.120145 7.841316 11.971311 18.812876 30.094025 48.366056 81.042589
2025-05-11 4.492124 7.124497 11.276734 18.446941 30.820462 51.858522 91.553244
2025-05-18 3.984432 6.526309 10.681225 18.138797 31.568376 55.470986 102.928075
2025-05-25 3.565858 6.017808 10.160690 17.870364 32.321755 59.181928 115.168931
2025-06-01 3.231230 5.608320 9.752057 17.732089 33.272839 63.383303 129.165723
2025-06-08 2.955595 5.267540 9.418469 17.677073 34.358718 67.997506 144.912583
2025-06-15 2.787554 5.108712 9.408348 18.264340 36.865092 76.021156 170.081051
2025-06-22 2.569276 4.830023 9.138966 18.301146 38.251967 81.961652 191.926887
2025-06-29 2.327041 4.476938 8.682491 17.889157 38.613326 85.726355 209.468421
2025-07-06 2.127494 4.184930 8.311604 17.603792 39.206153 90.121017 229.634253
2025-07-13 2.021026 4.069100 8.286441 18.069511 41.604632 99.252079 264.563665
2025-07-20 1.931222 3.977244 8.299709 18.622953 44.307743 109.663170 305.767606
2025-07-27 1.824145 3.836248 8.189380 18.872081 46.302780 118.650296 345.270295
2025-08-03 1.681934 3.603042 7.847500 18.517286 46.694849 123.436020 373.304390
2025-08-10 1.557752 3.397029 7.544139 18.215931 47.181324 128.588941 403.961894
2025-08-17 1.447978 3.212487 7.270075 17.951518 47.728045 134.034748 437.170099
2025-08-24 1.356330 3.060661 7.056773 17.816016 48.617299 140.686709 476.524386